As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. We only look at the past three seasons for a player. This is because anyone who is looking at data from 2016 to figure out what to do in 2020 had better be making a Ghostbusters reboot. Allen Robinson was one of the highest-targeted receivers in 2019, but coming from Mitchell Trubisky, that doesn’t mean much. How might he fare in 2020?
Allen Robinson ADP and AAV:
STD: WR25, 58 overall
PPR: WR14, 39 overall
Allen Robinson Average Auction Value: $36
Allen Robinson Statistics:
| Year | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
| G | 16 | 13 | 1 |
| GS | 15 | 12 | 1 |
| Tgt | 154 | 94 | 1 |
| Rec | 98 | 55 | 1 |
| Yards | 1147 | 754 | 17 |
| TD | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| Tgt/G | 9.63 | 5.88 | 0.06 |
| Rec/G | 6.13 | 3.44 | 0.06 |
| Rec% | 63.6% | 58.5% | 100.0% |
| Yds/Tgt | 7.45 | 8.02 | 17.00 |
| Yds/Rec | 11.70 | 13.71 | 17.00 |
| Year | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
| Air Yards | 1750 | 1124 | 15 |
| aDOT | 11.4 | 12.1 | 15 |
| YAC | 272 | 216 | 2 |
| YAC/Tgt | 1.77 | 2.32 | 2.00 |
| YAC/Rec | 2.78 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| YAC% | 23.7% | 29.1% | 11.8% |
| AYMS | 39% | 29% | 9% |
| Tgt MS | 27% | 22% | 5% |
| Year | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
| Std Pts | 156.9 | 98.3 | 1.7 |
| HPPR Pts | 205.9 | 125.8 | 2.2 |
| PPR Pts | 254.9 | 153.3 | 2.7 |
| Pts/G | 9.8 | 7.6 | 1.7 |
| HPPR Pts/G | 12.9 | 9.7 | 2.2 |
| PPR Pts/G | 15.9 | 11.8 | 2.7 |
| Pts/Tgt | 1.02 | 1.05 | 1.70 |
| Pts/Tgt (HPPR) | 1.34 | 1.34 | 2.20 |
| Pts/Tgt (PPR) | 1.66 | 1.63 | 2.70 |
Allen Robinson Overview:
He’s had a top-12 season with Blake Bortles. He had a top-12 season with Mitch Trubisky. The Bears’ quarterback could be an upside-down lawnmower and it would still fire out enough accurate throws for Robinson to have a decent fantasy year. But he doesn’t have an upside-down lawnmower at QB, he doesn’t even have a rightside-up lawnmower. Wait, that would be worse. Anyway, the Bears have taken on Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles. Say what you want about his performance in Jacksonville, Foles is more accurate than Trubisky. We wouldn’t spend a top 30 pick on him, but the back of the third round seems like a decent value for a guy who can’t stop having top-12 years with bad quarterbacks.
Allen Robinson Draft Strategy:
Allen Robinson Auction Value: $18
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet! (coming late June)
Best Case Scenario:
Robinson continues to grow and the QB switch cements him as a WR1.
Worst Case Scenario:
Nick Foles regresses as he did after his breakout year in Philadelphia. Robinson becomes a #1 pick for “receiver with the worst quarterbacks of all time.”
[Photo Credit: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Allen_Robinson.JPG under cc-2.0]
[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com and airyards.com]
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