As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. We only look at the past three seasons for a player. Kareem Hunt missed half of 2019 due to disciplinary actions taken by the NFL. Now, he gets a full season with Nick Chubb to produce the most talented one-two backfield punch in the NFL. What can we expect from a full season of Kareem Hunt with Kevin Stefanski?
Kareem Hunt ADP and AAV:
Standard Scoring ADP: RB31, 81 overall
PPR Scoring ADP: RB27, 64 overall
Average Auction Value: $4
Kareem Hunt Statistics:
| Year | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
| G | 8 | 11 | 16 |
| GS | 3 | 11 | 16 |
| Ru Att | 43 | 181 | 272 |
| Ru Yds | 179 | 824 | 1327 |
| Ru TD | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Tgt | 44 | 35 | 63 |
| Rec | 37 | 26 | 53 |
| Yards | 285 | 378 | 455 |
| TD | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| Touches | 80 | 207 | 325 |
| Opp | 87 | 216 | 335 |
| Total Yards | 464 | 1202 | 1782 |
| Year | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
| YPC | 4.16 | 4.55 | 4.88 |
| Ru Att/G | 5.4 | 16.5 | 17.0 |
| Ru Yd/G | 22.4 | 74.9 | 82.9 |
| Tgt/G | 5.50 | 3.18 | 3.94 |
| Rec/G | 4.63 | 2.36 | 3.31 |
| Catch% | 84.1% | 74.3% | 84.1% |
| Yds/Tgt | 6.48 | 10.80 | 7.22 |
| Yds/Rec | 7.70 | 14.54 | 8.58 |
| Touches/G | 10.00 | 18.82 | 20.31 |
| Opp/G | 10.88 | 19.64 | 20.94 |
| Yds/G | 58.00 | 109.27 | 111.38 |
| Year | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
| Std Pts | 64.4 | 204.2 | 242.2 |
| HPPR Pts | 82.9 | 217.2 | 268.7 |
| PPR Pts | 101.4 | 230.2 | 295.2 |
| Pts/G | 8.05 | 18.56 | 15.14 |
| HPPR Pts/G | 10.36 | 19.75 | 16.79 |
| PPR Pts/G | 12.68 | 20.93 | 18.45 |
| Pts/Touch | 0.81 | 0.99 | 0.75 |
| Pts/Touch (HPPR) | 1.04 | 1.05 | 0.83 |
| Pts/Touch (PPR) | 1.27 | 1.11 | 0.91 |
Kareem Hunt Overview:
Kareem Hunt did just enough last season to be obnoxious to Nick Chubb owners without finding a lot of intrinsic week-to-week value outside of full PPR leagues. Hunt’s 5.6 carries per game yielded limited results, but his 4.3 receptions and 34.4 yards through the air gave him a good floor in PPR leagues last year. That’s where we will likely find his benefit this season, although new head coach Kevin Stefanski would be silly to not throw him at least 10 carries a game. After all, Stefanski gave Alexander Mattison 7.7 carries per game, and so far, he isn’t on par with Kareem Hunt in the talent department.
This year Hunt and Chubb will work as a beautiful thunder and lightning symphony, raising both up into the ranks of weekly fantasy football starters. I have full faith that Kevin Stefanski can make both guys work by having them both on the field. If Hunt ends up with 116 rushes and 69 targets, 1,200 total yards and eight touchdowns aren’t outside the realm of possibility.
Kareem Hunt Draft Strategy:
Kareem Hunt Auction Value: $20
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet! (coming late June)
Kareem Hunt is an absolute steal right now given what he’s likely to do for you and your fantasy football team. He’s RB31 off the board and the eightieth pick. That’s in the range of guys like Julian Edelman and Rob Gronkowski. I am and have been, taking Kareem Hunt every single time in that draft range. In auctions, he’s going around the same price as guys like Derrius Guice and J.K. Dobbins, neither of which have proven anything close to what Hunt’s proven in the NFL.
Let’s assume that Kareem Hunt ends up exactly where he ended up last year, and that Stefanski doesn’t give him any additional run (or pass, hyuk hyuk). His season-long pace in his eight games he played last year: RB29 in standard scoring, RB22 in half-PPR scoring, and RB18 in full PPR scoring. Mash that draft button and never look back.
Best Case Scenario:
See: Nick Chubb’s worst-case scenario.
Worst Case Scenario:
Droves of ironic genies and monkey paws end up with a nationwide pandemic of the worst thing that a person has ever done happening to them.
[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com and airyards.com]
