As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. Mike Gesicki was the worst best-kept secret heading into the 2019 NFL season. Those among us who could think clearly, were handsome and brilliant geniuses knew that Gesicki would be a TE1 last year. And wow would you look at that, I was the one who thought that. If you want some gushing love for Mike Gesicki, look no further.
Mike Gesicki ADP and AAV:
Standard Scoring ADP: TE14, 128 overall
PPR Scoring ADP: TE15, 129 overall
Average Auction Value: $1
Mike Gesicki Statistics:
| Year | 2019 | 2018 |
| G | 16 | 16 |
| GS | 5 | 7 |
| Tgt | 89 | 32 |
| Rec | 51 | 22 |
| Yards | 570 | 202 |
| TD | 5 | 0 |
| Tgt/G | 5.6 | 2.0 |
| Rec/G | 3.19 | 1.38 |
| Rec% | 35.6 | 12.6 |
| Yds/Tgt | 6.40 | 6.31 |
| Yds/Rec | 6.404 | 6.313 |
| Year | 2019 | 2018 |
| Std Pts | 85 | 18.2 |
| HPPR Pts | 135 | 33.2 |
| PPR Pts | 136 | 40.2 |
| Pts/G | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| HPPR Pts/G | 8.4 | 2.1 |
| PPR Pts/G | 8.5 | 2.5 |
| Pts/Tgt | 0.96 | 0.57 |
| Pts/Tgt (HPPR) | 1.52 | 1.04 |
| Pts/Tgt (HPPR) | 1.53 | 1.26 |
| Year | 2019 | 2018 |
| Air Yards | 910 | 278 |
| aDOT | 10.2 | 8.7 |
| YAC | 162 | 100 |
| YAC/Tgt | 1.82 | 3.13 |
| YAC/Rec | 3.18 | 4.55 |
| YAC% | 28.4% | 49.5% |
| AYMS | 17% | 8% |
| Tgt MS | 15% | 8% |
Mike Gesicki Overview:
Many people overlooked Mike Gesicki headed into 2019 because the Dolphins were a complete mess last year. Tank for Tua was on, so it was easy to overlook him. What was difficult to overlook was his insane athletic profile and an offense that had no real direction for targets. It seemed like Gesicki was primed for a breakout but everyone was too busy not wanting to see it. Mike Gesicki ended 2019 as TE11 on the year in 2019, but that says more about the position than anything that Gesicki did. Gesicki had 570 yards, 51 receptions, and 5 touchdowns is the most milquetoast possible year-end fantasy football line. That does not make Gesicki overwhelmingly exciting for 2020, but it does let me do victory lap after victory lap so here we are.
What makes me excited for Gesicki in 2020 is the opportunity he received down the stretch last year: Gesicki had at least six targets in eight-of-nine games, and at least seven targets in five-of-six games to end the year. He had plenty of opportunities to produce down the stretch (fifth-most TE targets in December) and ended with five touchdowns in the last six games while averaging four catches for 46 yards per game in the last six games. That’s not an exciting number, but when you figure that the Jets stymied him into one catch for six yards, his one bad game really drives down his overall production. He played great for fantasy football purposes down the stretch, culminating in a six-catch, 82-yard, two-touchdown performance in the fantasy football finals. He is ready to lead your fantasy football teams to glory in 2020.
Mike Gesicki Draft Strategy:
Mike Gesicki Auction Value: $3
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet! (coming late June)
This year, Gesicki is once again poised to take a step forward. Not only will he play in-line, but he will man the slot in three-wide sets, according to recent reports. That’s the best way to use Gesicki. He cannot freaking block but he is one of the most athletic tight ends out there. He’s set up to smash in his third year in Miami. They have DeVante Parker, a questionably healthy Preston Williams, and Allen Hurns & Albert Wilson to battle Gesicki for targets. Try as the fantasy football community might, they have not yet willed Hurns and/or Wilson into being quality fantasy football options.
I love Mike Gesicki. Mike Gesicki goes at an insane value, and I don’t believe in not drafting tight ends who don’t go at insane values. I get Mike Gesicki in every single draft. I pencil him in in the tenth round or save $2 for him in all my auctions. It’s as much of a slam dunk a pick as you can get for me. If you worry about drafting Gesicki too early, wait for Noah Fant or Hayden Hurst to go off the board, then get Mike Gesicki. Gesicki goes in the range of tight ends where I snatch up a couple if I’m feeling spicy. I’ll spend $3 or $4 between them or a tenth-round pick and eleventh-round pick. In a perfect world, this gets me Noah Fant and Gesicki, but Gesicki and one of Hayden Hurst/Jonnu Smith/T.J. Hockenson are perfectly acceptable.
Best Case Scenario:
I say this with no reservation or fear that it might be hyperbole: TE3.
Worst Case Scenario:
He is going outside the top-twelve at tight end and he finishes outside the top-twelve at tight end.
[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com and airyards.com]
